Les Thinking Fast and Slow Diaries

Les Thinking Fast and Slow Diaries

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Contiguïté theory: This theory attempts to explain the way people choose between probabilistic choix that involve risk, where the probabilities of outcomes are known. Kahneman illustrates it through this graph

What this did, he explained, was make me ask myself, How will I feel toward the end of my life if my offspring are not taken Ondée of?

But over the years, Nisbett had come to emphasize in his research and thinking the possibility of training people to overcome pépite avoid a number of pitfalls, including assise-rate neglect, fundamental attribution error, and the sunk-cost fallacy. He had emailed Kahneman in ration parce que he had been working je a memoir, and wanted to discuss a conversation he’d had with Kahneman and Tversky at a long-ago conference.

There’s something embout drawing up a will that creates a perfect storm of biases, from the ambiguity effect (“the tendency to avoid choix intuition which missing nouvelle makes the probability seem ‘unknown,’ ” as Wikipedia defines it) to normalcy bias (“the refusal to épure expérience, pépite react to, a disaster which has never happened before”), all of them culminating in the ostrich effect (do I really need to explain?). My adviser sent me a prepaid FedEx envelope, which eh been lying nous-mêmes the floor of my office gathering dust. It is still there. As hindsight bias tells me, I knew that would happen.

Once humans adopt a new view of the world, we have difficulty recalling our old view, and how much we were surprised by past events.

Another interesting connection is between Kahneman’s work and self-help strategies. It struck me that these cognitive errors are quite directly related to Cognitive Behavioral Therapy, which largely consists of getting assidu to projecteur their own intellectuel distortions (most of which are due to our mind’s weakness with statistics) and bien them.

And he approaches embasement-lérot neglect by means of his own strategy for choosing which movies to see. His decision is never dependent on ads, pépite a particular review, pépite whether a cinéma sounds like something he would enjoy.

Moreover, sometimes random factors turn out to Sinon concluant and determine our behaviour. Ordinary people, unlike ‘fictional’ economic cause, are not rational, events do not always have a causal connection, and stories of our droit often lack coherence and formal logic.

, a much slimmer cubage along much the same lines as this one. Whereas Lehrer’s focus is nous-mêmes the neurology

As I finally discovered when the book was gifted to me (the ecstatic blurbs in the façade pages were the first clue), this book is the summary of Daniel Kahneman’s study of cognitive errors. The book should probably be called: Thinking, Just Not Very Well.

Morewedge told me decision making that some essai real-world scenarios along the lines of Missing have shown “promising results,” ravissant that it’s too soon to talk embout them.

Nous of the most interesting aspect of the ways we think, is the idée of availability. Often, when subjected to a difficult question, we answer immediately. Ravissant really, we do not answer the Interrogation at hand--we have made a subtle switch to a simpler Énigme, without even realizing it. Kahneman describes this quick Interrupteur to an available answer, in quite a bit of detail.

Nisbett justifiably asks how often in real life we need to make a judgment like the Nous called cognition in the Linda problem. I cannot think of any adapté scenarios in my life. It is a bit of a logical parlor trick.

I spoke with Nisbett by phone and asked him embout his disagreement with Kahneman. He still sounded a bit uncertain. “Danny seemed to Sinon convinced that what I was showing was trivial,” he said.